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National Bureau of Economic Research

Nov 21

Stock market decline as a predictor for the recession

Chicago Stock Exchange

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Nov 14

Recession

Business cycle

A recession is a contraction phase of the business cycle, or "a period of reduced economic activity." The U.S. based National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession more broadly as "a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP growth, real personal income, employment (non-farm payrolls), industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales." A sustained recession may become a depression.

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Gambling

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